VTTW Board Index
April 25, 2024, 06:39:51 EDT *
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length
News: Game and TV Information - Next football game: Tennessee at Missouri, November 11, 2023, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS. Go Big Orange!

Message Board Links - Wayne and Hobbes' Auburn Board, Mudlizard's Vitual Swamp
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register  
Pages: [1] 2   Go Down
  Print  
Author Topic: Not sold on McIllwain yet  (Read 13862 times)
0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.
BanditVol
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 23685


View Profile
« on: November 16, 2015, 05:09:26 EST »

He has greatly improved the offense, and that has been the difference this year.  The offense has gone from putrid, one of the worst in CFB, to merely average with Grier and below average with Harris.  How they do next year on offense IMO largely depends on the status of the Grier appeal.  If they are limited to Harris again, they almost certainly drop some early games, especially ours.   

Even if the offense is not dominating, the improvement is still impressive.  But the reason they are winning is due to the D.  The D was constructed by Muschamp, who, whatever his failings as HC, is an outstanding defensive coach.  Will McIllwain, the offensive minded guy be able to maintain that?  I guess we will see.  They have so much talent available in that state that i don't think the D will ever suck, but odds are it will not be quite as good as it is now either IMO.  They lose quite a few seniors and there may be some juniors leave early.  Muschamp's last couple of recruiting classes kind of sucked, so I see some rebuilding for the D next year.

But most important, they have won 4 games by one score or less, and not against competition that was great either.  They did lose one close one LSU, but won the rest.  I well recall 2004, when Tennessee won 6 of 7 close games, two of which were Kentucky and Vandy.  The next year, we lost 3 of 6 games that were settled by a score or less to give Fulmer his first losing season.  Something similar happened with Muschamp's one good year.  He won a lot of close games where they caught breaks but lost similar games the following year.

I expect the same thing to perhaps happen to Florida.  In many of their wins they have caught breaks (shanked punt against Vandy, missed opportunity or two by UK, don't even get me started on our game). 

We will find out, but I don't see McIllwain having a dominant team next year by any means.  They will be much better than under Muschamp, but the D will be down a notch and IMO they start rolling snake eyes and lose some of the close one.  No one can get lucky forever.   
Logged

"The speed of our movements is amazing, even to me, and must be a constant source of surprise to the Germans.”  G. Patton
Volznut
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 38485



View Profile
« Reply #1 on: November 16, 2015, 05:24:23 EST »

He should be National COY.



Logged
Tnphil
All-American
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 7028


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: November 16, 2015, 05:55:55 EST »

I remember some laughing when Florida made this hire......remember a poster even calling him a clown. That clown just won the East and has done a good job of smoke and mirrors on offense since he lost his starting QB. I knew when Florida hired him they had made a good hire and said so at the time.

IMO, Florida will be the team to beat in the East the next few years.....after this season winning the East when most were saying they would be lucky to win 6 games they will not have any trouble recruiting at a high level.

Mac is a darn good football coach...Period
Logged
Creek Walker
Guest
« Reply #3 on: November 16, 2015, 06:07:10 EST »

I thought at the time of his hire that it was a good one by Foley, and I still do. He won the East with what might be the worst team he'll ever have at UF.
Logged
BanditVol
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 23685


View Profile
« Reply #4 on: November 16, 2015, 07:10:20 EST »

I remember some laughing when Florida made this hire......remember a poster even calling him a clown. That clown just won the East and has done a good job of smoke and mirrors on offense since he lost his starting QB. I knew when Florida hired him they had made a good hire and said so at the time.

IMO, Florida will be the team to beat in the East the next few years.....after this season winning the East when most were saying they would be lucky to win 6 games they will not have any trouble recruiting at a high level.

Mac is a darn good football coach...Period

I wasn't.  I was aware of what he did at bammer and other places as OC, and knew he might considerably improve the offense, which he did.  I expected an 8-4 type of year, but as I point out above, some breaks fell his way.
Logged

"The speed of our movements is amazing, even to me, and must be a constant source of surprise to the Germans.”  G. Patton
BanditVol
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 23685


View Profile
« Reply #5 on: November 16, 2015, 07:15:08 EST »

I thought at the time of his hire that it was a good one by Foley, and I still do. He won the East with what might be the worst team he'll ever have at UF.

That's the conventional wisdom, but I would like to see him do it without all the luck first.  I think he might actually take a step back next year.
Logged

"The speed of our movements is amazing, even to me, and must be a constant source of surprise to the Germans.”  G. Patton
HerbTarlekVol
All-SEC
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2725



View Profile
« Reply #6 on: November 16, 2015, 11:13:00 EST »

9-1 and ranked 8th in the AP poll.  Read slowly - that's 9-1 and ranked 8th, going to be in the SEC championship game.

Did I mention that they are 9-1 and ranked 8th? 

What in the cowboy hell will it take to "sell" you on him? 
Logged

Go Army - Beat Navy!
Tnphil
All-American
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 7028


View Profile
« Reply #7 on: November 16, 2015, 11:16:46 EST »

9-1 and ranked 8th in the AP poll.  Read slowly - that's 9-1 and ranked 8th, going to be in the SEC championship game.

Did I mention that they are 9-1 and ranked 8th? 

What in the cowboy hell will it take to "sell" you on him? 

If they hadn't lost PED Boy at QB they most likely beat LSU.
Logged
volsboy
All-SEC
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 4401



View Profile
« Reply #8 on: November 17, 2015, 12:33:35 EST »

I bet you same sheep are sold on Jones though. Give me a break. I'm with you Herb.
Logged

volsboyinsodak
TheRealOrange
Moderator
All-SEC
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 1039



View Profile
« Reply #9 on: November 17, 2015, 02:38:00 EST »

I bet you same sheep are sold on Jones though. Give me a break. I'm with you Herb.

Keep up the name calling and you won't have to worry about being here to be so bothered.  No further warnings.
Logged
BanditVol
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 23685


View Profile
« Reply #10 on: November 17, 2015, 03:01:11 EST »

9-1 and ranked 8th in the AP poll.  Read slowly - that's 9-1 and ranked 8th, going to be in the SEC championship game.

Did I mention that they are 9-1 and ranked 8th? 

What in the cowboy hell will it take to "sell" you on him? 

We will see HTK

There is another "conventional wisdom" that says "winners find a way to win".

I've always thought that was mostly BS.  What actually happens is the ball bounces funny.  Sometimes it bounces your way, sometimes it doesn't.

It's completely irrational to think that a team that barely beat Vandy, Kentucky, ESU, and if I am a particular poster on here, us, is actually some kind of world beater. No.  They just won the lottery this year that's all.

I'm not saying he's a bad coach...he's actually a very good one.  But that he is in the top 9 and has only 1 loss is as much luck as anything else.

It appears the committee actually agrees with me.  Florida, in spite of being the East champion and having only one loss, is nowhere near the top 4 (might change tonight but I doubt it changes much).  And as a matter of fact, Finebaum thinks they may even be left out if they win the SEC!  Not that I like Finebaum, but he's as tied into the process as anyone, and certainly more than me.

Logged

"The speed of our movements is amazing, even to me, and must be a constant source of surprise to the Germans.”  G. Patton
HerbTarlekVol
All-SEC
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2725



View Profile
« Reply #11 on: November 17, 2015, 03:41:21 EST »

We will see HTK

There is another "conventional wisdom" that says "winners find a way to win".

I've always thought that was mostly BS.  What actually happens is the ball bounces funny.  Sometimes it bounces your way, sometimes it doesn't.

It's completely irrational to think that a team that barely beat Vandy, Kentucky, ESU, and if I am a particular poster on here, us, is actually some kind of world beater. No.  They just won the lottery this year that's all.

I'm not saying he's a bad coach...he's actually a very good one.  But that he is in the top 9 and has only 1 loss is as much luck as anything else.

It appears the committee actually agrees with me.  Florida, in spite of being the East champion and having only one loss, is nowhere near the top 4 (might change tonight but I doubt it changes much).  And as a matter of fact, Finebaum thinks they may even be left out if they win the SEC!  Not that I like Finebaum, but he's as tied into the process as anyone, and certainly more than me.



Uh, if you insist, Bandit.  Bet it really sucks to be 9-1 and with a month left in the season to know you are going to be in Atlanta playing for an SEC championship. 

Takes a really crappy coach to accomplish that.   
Logged

Go Army - Beat Navy!
BanditVol
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 23685


View Profile
« Reply #12 on: November 17, 2015, 03:55:00 EST »

Uh, if you insist, Bandit.  Bet it really sucks to be 9-1 and with a month left in the season to know you are going to be in Atlanta playing for an SEC championship. 

Takes a really crappy coach to accomplish that.   

I'm not saying he's a bad coach...he's actually a very good one.

Read a bit more carefully next time.   
Logged

"The speed of our movements is amazing, even to me, and must be a constant source of surprise to the Germans.”  G. Patton
HerbTarlekVol
All-SEC
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2725



View Profile
« Reply #13 on: November 17, 2015, 04:12:50 EST »

I'm not saying he's a bad coach...he's actually a very good one.

Read a bit more carefully next time.   

No, what you said is that you weren't "sold" on him yet. 

And my counterpoint was asking you what it would take to "sell" you on him.

My reading comprehension is fine.  All I am asking for is logical and reasonable debate on why you aren't "sold" on him yet.  He's proved that he knows what he is doing thus far at UF, coupled with the success he had as Bama's OC and turning Colorado State around from a 4-8 team to a 10-2 team in just 3 years. 

What else does he have to do? 
Logged

Go Army - Beat Navy!
BanditVol
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 23685


View Profile
« Reply #14 on: November 17, 2015, 05:16:15 EST »

No, what you said is that you weren't "sold" on him yet. 

And my counterpoint was asking you what it would take to "sell" you on him.

My reading comprehension is fine.  All I am asking for is logical and reasonable debate on why you aren't "sold" on him yet.  He's proved that he knows what he is doing thus far at UF, coupled with the success he had as Bama's OC and turning Colorado State around from a 4-8 team to a 10-2 team in just 3 years. 

What else does he have to do? 

Well first and foremost, I'm not sold on the view of a lot of fans that the Vols can never defeat him. 

But in terms of his coaching ability, I think the odds are that he will have a worse record next year than this and is going to have a tough time repeating as East champ.   They will be the favorites for sure.

In most cases where a team wins some close games where they caught lucky breaks, the odds catch up.

They are quite over-rated at no. 9, and my guess is the odds even up next year and they lose a few more than this.

We will see.


Logged

"The speed of our movements is amazing, even to me, and must be a constant source of surprise to the Germans.”  G. Patton
Volznut
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 38485



View Profile
« Reply #15 on: November 17, 2015, 05:18:30 EST »

No, what you said is that you weren't "sold" on him yet. 

And my counterpoint was asking you what it would take to "sell" you on him.

My reading comprehension is fine.  All I am asking for is logical and reasonable debate on why you aren't "sold" on him yet.  He's proved that he knows what he is doing thus far at UF, coupled with the success he had as Bama's OC and turning Colorado State around from a 4-8 team to a 10-2 team in just 3 years. 

What else does he have to do? 

Based on his original post, it seems that he believes FL got lucky this year.
I think that's sour grapes. Dude made his own luck.

Logged
BanditVol
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 23685


View Profile
« Reply #16 on: November 17, 2015, 07:10:51 EST »

Based on his original post, it seems that he believes FL got lucky this year.
I think that's sour grapes. Dude made his own luck.



No, not sour grapes at all.  Honestly, my hatred of UF is nowhere near where it was in the 90s hey day of this rivalry.  I am impressed by what McIllwain has accomplished this year.

But he literally did get lucky!  Vandy shanks a punt.  Kentucky throws a late int.  The Vols miss a long FG to end the game (which should have been closer anyway).  ECU leads most of the game and makes a late turnover.

These events will not repeat in the future. 

It's happened before.  A lot of Vol fans were really excited by the 2004 season in which we won SIX close games, until the wheels came off in 2005.  Muschamp went 11-1 in 2013 by winning about a half dozen games where all the breaks went their way, then promptly went 4-8 the next season.

For the record, I'm not predicting that kind of a collapse, because McIllwain is definitely a better HC than Muschamp.  But I would not be surprised to see be 7-3 at this point in the season next year.

What I am pointing out are things the "all that matters is winning" crowd often misses, which is that how you win actually does matter when talking about future prospects for success.
Logged

"The speed of our movements is amazing, even to me, and must be a constant source of surprise to the Germans.”  G. Patton
BanditVol
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 23685


View Profile
« Reply #17 on: November 17, 2015, 07:11:40 EST »

Let me put it this way...I think McIllwain's stock may well be near or even at it's all time high.  If this was in fact an investment, I would sell him and maybe even take up a short position.   
Logged

"The speed of our movements is amazing, even to me, and must be a constant source of surprise to the Germans.”  G. Patton
Volznut
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 38485



View Profile
« Reply #18 on: November 17, 2015, 07:24:12 EST »

Let me put it this way...I think McIllwain's stock may well be near or even at it's all time high.  If this was in fact an investment, I would sell him and maybe even take up a short position.   

He'll have a chance to show his long time worth. His class wasn't good last year, so he will need to show he can recruit.

Logged
Tnphil
All-American
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 7028


View Profile
« Reply #19 on: November 17, 2015, 09:26:07 EST »

When you win 10-11 games it's a little harder to trend up unless you win them all. Butch is the one that needs to start trending up IMO.
« Last Edit: November 17, 2015, 09:32:35 EST by Tnphil » Logged
HerbTarlekVol
All-SEC
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2725



View Profile
« Reply #20 on: November 17, 2015, 09:34:17 EST »

When you win 10-11 games it's a little harder to trend up unless you win them all. Butch is the one that needs to start trending up IMO.

Game.  Set.  Match. 

Like I said, must really suck for McIlwain to be 9-1 and playing in an SECCG. 
Logged

Go Army - Beat Navy!
volsboy
All-SEC
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 4401



View Profile
« Reply #21 on: November 17, 2015, 09:48:56 EST »

Let's not get too carried away...McIllwain's luck has led to wins and Jones luck/lack there of has led to some tough losses. I hope that trend doesn't stay that way for long. I will say Mcillwain has had a good first season and leave it at that. Honestly, when Jones gets talented 2 deep depth all over the field, he will start winning these games where he has just fallen short. I am not totally down on Jones,contrary to popular belief, but next year he will have some 'splaining to do for these type losses.
Logged

volsboyinsodak
Volznut
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 38485



View Profile
« Reply #22 on: November 17, 2015, 09:49:26 EST »

When you win 10-11 games it's a little harder to trend up unless you win them all. Butch is the one that needs to start trending up IMO.

he is. Albeit slower.

5-7
7-6
9-4?  

Logged
HerbTarlekVol
All-SEC
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2725



View Profile
« Reply #23 on: November 17, 2015, 10:03:07 EST »

Let's not get too carried away...McIllwain's luck has led to wins and Jones luck/lack there of has led to some tough losses. I hope that trend doesn't stay that way for long. I will say Mcillwain has had a good first season and leave it at that. Honestly, when Jones gets talented 2 deep depth all over the field, he will start winning these games where he has just fallen short. I am not totally down on Jones,contrary to popular belief, but next year he will have some 'splaining to do for these type losses.

Never really saw that this was a McIlwain vs. Butch issue.  It's about what constitutes being "sold" on the job that McIlwain has done. 

Logged

Go Army - Beat Navy!
PirateVOL
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 37922


...


View Profile
« Reply #24 on: November 17, 2015, 10:12:45 EST »

Never really saw that this was a McIlwain vs. Butch issue.  It's about what constitutes being "sold" on the job that McIlwain has done. 


Don't you know?
It's all about his hatred of all things Butch.
Rational thinking and logic has no place in his life
Logged





All men dream: but not equally.
Those who Dream by night in the dusty recesses of their minds
Wake in the day to find that it was vanity; but the
Dreamers of the day are dangerous men, for they
May act their dream with open eyes, to make it Possible.
This I did.
—T. E. Lawrence,
The Seven Pillars of Wisdom
_________________________________________________________________________________________________
"If you find yourself in a fair fight, you didn't plan your mission properly." - David Hackworth

"Be polite, be professional, but have a plan to kill everybody you meet"
General James "Mad Dog" Mattis
Pages: [1] 2   Go Up
  Print  
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!