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Author Topic: After having seen the Vols play 2 games, does anyone have a clue as to how  (Read 120 times)
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volsboy
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« on: September 13, 2018, 08:35:44 EDT »

many SEC opponents the Vols will be favored against going into the game. You think we should be favored over UF?
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volsboyinsodak
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« Reply #1 on: September 13, 2018, 08:43:11 EDT »

As of right this minute if we were playing any SEC team tomorrow we wouldn't be the favorite in any of them. I will be shocked if we are a favorite over FL next week and the only reason I see that could happen is if Colorado State beats them this weekend.
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BanditVol
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« Reply #2 on: September 13, 2018, 09:14:16 EDT »

ESPN FPI says our best chance is UK at 48.1%, but we were favored against them last week.  I guess beating Florida pumped them up.

http://www.espn.com/college-football/team/fpi?id=2633&year=2018

Not worried.  I like our chances with the gators in a week or so, and FPI rating of gators shows the limits of computer models, or at any rate the one ESPN uses.  They rely too heavily on past performance.  Florida is likely still getting credit for beating us last year and keeping some of their big games closer.
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Tnphil
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« Reply #3 on: September 13, 2018, 09:45:08 EDT »

I'd say losing 12 of the last 13 against the Gators has something to do with it.
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volsboy
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« Reply #4 on: September 13, 2018, 11:36:51 EDT »

I'd say losing 12 of the last 13 against the Gators has something to do with it.
Dang that is a an awful statistic. We were likely the better team in about 7 of those losses. Sickening I say!
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volsboyinsodak
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« Reply #5 on: September 14, 2018, 05:58:31 EDT »

I'd say losing 12 of the last 13 against the Gators has something to do with it.

It would if it was a human poll, but I've read up on the ESPN FPI program and it only goes back 12 games.  It weights more recent games a bit more, but is still factoring in last season at this point.  Later this year previous season games won't matter much if at all.

But it doesn't go back 13 years.   
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