VTTW Board Index
May 10, 2024, 08:39:02 EDT *
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.

Login with username, password and session length
News: Game and TV Information - Next football game: Tennessee at Missouri, November 11, 2023, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS. Go Big Orange!

Message Board Links - Wayne and Hobbes' Auburn Board, Mudlizard's Vitual Swamp
 
   Home   Help Search Login Register  
VTTW Board Index > Sports > VTTW Message Board (Moderators: droner, Stogie Vol, TheRealOrange) > There is a kernel of some really powerful football analytics in here
Pages: [1]   Go Down
« previous next »
  Print  
Author Topic: There is a kernel of some really powerful football analytics in here  (Read 2101 times)
0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.
Clockwork Orange
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 21515



View Profile
« on: January 24, 2014, 04:00:29 EST »
Football is behind basketball and baseball in this area, but if you have time and are so inclined I suggest you read the following article, which attempts to establish a "Five Factors" system that describes winning football. You may not be familiar with the stats involved-- I'm still digging into them myself-- but the correlation with outcome is strong. I suspect this needs further development but I like the start.

The summary:

Quote
If you win the explosiveness battle (using PPP), you win 86 percent of the time.

If you win the efficency battle (using Success Rate), you win 83 percent of the time.

If you win the drive-finishing battle (using points per trip inside the 40), you win 75 percent of the time.

If you win the field position battle (using average starting field position), you win 72 percent of the time.

If you win the turnover battle (using turnover margin), you win 73 percent of the time.

http://www.footballstudyhall.com/2014/1/24/5337968/college-football-five-factors
Logged
"Stay patient and be strong, 'cause it's gonna hit. And when it hits, it's gonna hit hard."
HerbTarlekVol
All-SEC
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2725



View Profile
« Reply #1 on: January 24, 2014, 05:06:24 EST »
And 86% of all statistics posted on the interwebz are made up by the poster on the spot.  
Logged
Go Army - Beat Navy!
Tnphil
All-American
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 7044


View Profile
« Reply #2 on: January 24, 2014, 06:35:19 EST »
Quote from: HerbTarlekVol on January 24, 2014, 05:06:24 EST
And 86% of all statistics posted on the interwebz are made up by the poster on the spot.  

And if you post....that per your 'sources'.....there is a 99% chance you have no 'sources'.
Logged
PirateVOL
Heisman
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 37953


...


View Profile
« Reply #3 on: January 24, 2014, 06:36:58 EST »
Per my sources, Jon Gruden was just named a graduate assistant on the Hill
Logged




All men dream: but not equally.
Those who Dream by night in the dusty recesses of their minds
Wake in the day to find that it was vanity; but the
Dreamers of the day are dangerous men, for they
May act their dream with open eyes, to make it Possible.
This I did.
—T. E. Lawrence,
The Seven Pillars of Wisdom
_________________________________________________________________________________________________
"If you find yourself in a fair fight, you didn't plan your mission properly." - David Hackworth

"Be polite, be professional, but have a plan to kill everybody you meet"
General James "Mad Dog" Mattis
HerbTarlekVol
All-SEC
*****
Offline Offline

Posts: 2725



View Profile
« Reply #4 on: January 24, 2014, 10:46:14 EST »
Quote from: PirateVOL on January 24, 2014, 06:36:58 EST
Per my sources, Jon Gruden was just named a graduate assistant on the Hill

Yeah, hear he is dating a cheerleader.  Maybe they will buy land in Jefferson County one day and he'll come back and be the head coach at UT. 
Logged
Go Army - Beat Navy!
Pages: [1]   Go Up
  Print  
« previous next »
 
Jump to:  

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.18 | SMF © 2013, Simple Machines Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!