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Author Topic: FWIW, Jay Coleman's Dance Card  (Read 1296 times)
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Clockwork Orange
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« on: March 13, 2014, 04:13:00 EDT »

(which I've mentioned before as a pretty reliable predictor of NCAA at-large bids)

is being updated daily now, and shows us to be about as bubblelicious as a team can possibly be. We're bouncing around above and below the cut line almost on a daily basis. Right now the cut line is after 47 teams, and that factors in the fact that some teams above the line are going to get automatic bids. Tennessee is currently 48th.

This is a scary proposition, as nobody knows exactly where that cut line will end up based on conference tourney upsets. Here is where the cut line ended up in the three years since tournament expansion to 68 teams:

2013: 51
2012: 53
2011: 51

If the conference tourneys go mostly chalk, that line will be in the 50s and we may be able to make the tourney even if we lose Friday. If upsets start happening and bids get stolen, then we could be at risk even if we win Friday. It's a dicey situation that Cuonzo has gotten us in the for the third year in a row. Our numbers are far stronger this year but there's no doubt about our bubble status.

Hey, at least we won't have to worry about this next year. We won't be nearly talented enough to have a view of the bubble.  
« Last Edit: March 13, 2014, 04:35:40 EDT by Clockwork Orange » Logged

"Stay patient and be strong, 'cause it's gonna hit. And when it hits, it's gonna hit hard."

Tnphil
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« Reply #1 on: March 13, 2014, 04:49:40 EDT »

Next season we will be like the Chicago Cubs......We'll be mathematically eliminated on opening day.
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