Chances of winning out are now

[Clockwork Orange]

72.8% per Massey and 72.7% per ESPN FPI. It's pretty remarkable that they're nearly identical.

Massey has us at 91% to beat Vandy, 80% to beat Missouri, and 100% to beat North Texas.

In FPI, ours is the second highest probability in the country, behind Appy State's 76%. The next highest SEC school is Alabama at 27%.

[Coupe De VOL]

Those sound like reasonable numbers. 

[BanditVol]

72.8% per Massey and 72.7% per ESPN FPI. It's pretty remarkable that they're nearly identical.

Massey has us at 91% to beat Vandy, 80% to beat Missouri, and 100% to beat North Texas.

In FPI, ours is the second highest probability in the country, behind Appy State's 76%. The next highest SEC school is Alabama at 27%.

wow, that's an amazing gap

I like the 27% for bammer 

[Black Diamond Vol]

wow, that's an amazing gap

I like the 27% for bammer 

Well to be fair, they're probably including the SECC and playoff games for bammer.  And seeing as most believe that we're punching well above our 4 loss weight class, we're likely to be a big favorite in our bowl game, no matter the opponent.

[BanditVol]

Well to be fair, they're probably including the SECC and playoff games for bammer.  And seeing as most believe that we're punching well above our 4 loss weight class, we're likely to be a big favorite in our bowl game, no matter the opponent.

I doubt they include the playoff, since those teams are not selected yet.  It probably does include UF as an opponent, because here are the remaining odds on a per game basis at ESPN: 

From ESPN....

Sat, Nov 14   
@ #17 Mississippi State 58.1%   

Sat, Nov 21   
vs Charleston Southern 99.3%   

Sat, Nov 28   
@ Auburn 72.3%   


All they do is multiply the percentages together, which above leads to 41%.  From which, we can figure that ESPN calculates their odds of beating uf and winning the SEC at 65%.

[JDBVOL]

I believe that Mizzou's defense is good but I also believe that Vandy has come on strong as of late on D and that said I think the odds should be switched between Mizzou and Vandy.  jmo

I believe we win out as well but just never know since we have never beat Mizzou.

[Clockwork Orange]

I believe that Mizzou's defense is good but I also believe that Vandy has come on strong as of late on D and that said I think the odds should be switched between Mizzou and Vandy.  jmo

I believe we win out as well but just never know since we have never beat Mizzou.

Yeah, Vandy and Mizzou are comparable teams IMO. The difference is we play @Mizzou.

[JDBVOL]

good Point, home field does make some difference.

[Volznut]

Vandy beat Mizzou, so Vandy's better.

CO - 100% to beat N Texas? I understand it should be really high, but how can it be 100%?

[Clockwork Orange]

Vandy beat Mizzou, so Vandy's better.

CO - 100% to beat N Texas? I understand it should be really high, but how can it be 100%?

Rounding, I guess. Massey rounds to the nearest percent. North Texas might be the worst FBS team-- Massey ranks them #204 and there are only 128 FBS teams.

[Creek Walker]

Rounding, I guess. Massey rounds to the nearest percent. North Texas might be the worst FBS team-- Massey ranks them #204 and there are only 128 FBS teams.

Honestly, this is a game where we could sit every first string player and still win by 4-5 touchdowns. They're terrible. They have played somewhat better since firing their coach and appointing an interim, but they still gave up 56 to LaTech.