I think all we need is for the Horns to beat the aggies AND a loss by Bama(@OK or vs Aub), Ole Miss(@UF or vs MSU), OR UGa(vs GaTech). That will probably get us in as long as we finish strong.
I don't think we need 'a lot' of help. Simple example...per their projections, Texas will beat Tamu and bammer in the SECCG and get the bye. I think that's highly unlikely. If Texas loses to Tamu, they are out.
Key question is what happens if Texas beats Tamu, and then loses to bammer? That might be a coin flip between us and UT junior, but my guess is they will incline to the runner up.
My expectation is that if bammer loses to Texas, we get in ahead of a 3 loss bammer. Interestingly though, they have Texas getting the bye and bammer still in.
I think the reason for that is that the committee didn't factor in all the "what if" scenarios, they just gave their opinion of what it would look like today, without considering future matchups/elmination games.
There are some other scenarios. Here is my take. I am glad we are ranked 11th at least, and let's just see how the last two weeks work out.
Final note, if a 3 loss bammer gets in ahead of a 2 loss Tennessee, I will personally storm the NCAA office and string up the committee head.
Disclaimer: I will not storm the office nor lynch anyone, but that doesn't mean I would not want to
